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      THE NEED FOR MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS FOR GOVERNMENT PLANNING STRATEGIES TO PREPARE FOR THE ENHANCED GREENHOUSE EFFECT

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            Abstract

            There is a growing realization that the greenhouse-induced warming of the planet and the intensification of the hydrological cycle will have a significant impact on human society and its economic infrastructure. The significance of the effects for Australia, and for any other community in the world, will depend upon how government agencies and planners prepare for the consequences of these predicted changes. Governments need considerable help with any decision process associated with a long-term issue such as greenhouse. Availability of information (both accurate and complete) is of crucial importance if governments are to be expected to develop national (and polynational) strategic plans to ensure the continuation of, and development of, an acceptable lifestyle over the coming decades and centuries. In this paper, the authors present the scientific and planning background to the proposal for an integrated greenhouse data management system (IGDMS) and we briefly note some policy and planning options. The IGDMS proposed here is a first step in providing government departments with the decision support/management information systems required to face the global change challenges of the next century.

            Content

            Author and article information

            Journal
            cpro20
            CPRO
            Prometheus
            Critical Studies in Innovation
            Pluto Journals
            0810-9028
            1470-1030
            December 1990
            : 8
            : 2
            : 304-319
            Affiliations
            Article
            8629479 Prometheus, Vol. 8, No. 2, 1990: pp. 304–319
            10.1080/08109029008629479
            ac065a2f-867b-462d-93cc-2ada91173eed
            Copyright Taylor & Francis Group, LLC

            All content is freely available without charge to users or their institutions. Users are allowed to read, download, copy, distribute, print, search, or link to the full texts of the articles in this journal without asking prior permission of the publisher or the author. Articles published in the journal are distributed under a http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

            History
            Page count
            Figures: 0, Tables: 0, References: 28, Pages: 16
            Categories
            Original Articles

            Computer science,Arts,Social & Behavioral Sciences,Law,History,Economics
            climate policy,Greenhouse,data management information systems,Decision support systems

            NOTES AND REFERENCES

            1. C.D. Keeling, and T.A. Boden, Atmospheric CO2 concentrations — Manua Loa Observatory, Hawaii 1958–1986, Carbon Dioxide Information Centre (CDIC) Numeric Data Collection, NDP-001/R1, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, 1986.

            2. V. Ramanathan, ‘The greenhouse theory of climate change: a test by an inadvertent global experiment’, Science, 240, 1988, pp. 296–300; M. E. Schlesinger, ‘Model projections of the climatic changes induced by increased atmospheric CO2’, Climate and Geosciences. A Challenge for Science and Society in the 21st Century (ed. A. Berger, S. Schneider and J.CI. Duplessy), NATO ASI Series C: 285, Kluwer, Dordrecht, 1989, pp. 375–415; and S.H. Schneider, Global Warming: Are We Entering the Greenhouse Century?, Sierra Club, 1989b.

            3. For example, J. B. Fourier, ‘Mémoire sur les temperatures du globe terrestre et des espaces planétaires’, Mem. de L'Academie Royale des Sciences de C'Institut de France, 7, 1827, pp. 569–604; and S. Arrhenius ‘On the influence of carbonic acid in the air upon the temperature of the ground’, Philosophy Magazine, 41, 1896, pp. 237–276.

            4. IPCC, ‘Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’ to be presented to the Second World Climate Conference, WMO, Geneva (in press), 1990.

            5. V. Ramanathan, F.J. Pitcher, R.C. Malone and M.L. Blackmon, ‘The response of a spectral GCM to refinements in radiative processes’, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 40, 1983, pp. 605–630 and V. Ramanathan, ‘The greenhouse theory of climate change: a test by an inadvertent global experiment’, Science, 240, 1988, pp. 296–300.

            6. E. Vlachos, ‘Society and future climate change’, Climate and Geosciences. A Challenge for Science and Society in the 21st Century (ed. A. Berger, S. Schneider and J.Cl. Duplessy), NATO ASI Series C: 285, Kluwer, Dordrecht, 1989, pp. 583–602; S.H. Schneider, ‘The greenhouse effect: science and policy’, Science, 243, 1989a, pp. 771–81; and A. Henderson-Sellers and R.J. Blong, The Greenhouse Effect: Living in a Warmer Australia, University of New South Wales Press, 1989.

            7. Rind D., Rosenzweig A. and Rosenzweig C.. 1988. . Modelling the future: a joint venture. . Nature . , Vol. 334:: 483––486. .

            8. See the preface of B. Bolin, B.R. Döös, J. Jäger and R.A. Warrick (eds), The Greenhouse Effect, Climatic Change, and Ecosystems, Scientific Committee on the Problems of the Environment of the International Council of Scientific Unions (SCOPE), 29, John Wiley, Chichester, 1986.

            9. Schneider S. H. and Mesirow L. E.. 1976. . The Genesis Strategy. Climate and Global Survival . , New York : : Plenum Press. .

            10. D. Everest, The Greenhouse Effect. Issues for policy makers, Occasional Paper, Joint Energy Programme, The Royal Institute of International Affairs, London, 1988.

            11. Ford L. N.. 1985. . Decision support systems and expert systems: a comparison. . Information and Management . , Vol. 8:: 21––26. .

            12. Sprague R. H. and Carlson E. D.. 1982. . Building Effective Decision Support Systems . , Englewood Cliffs , New Jersey : : Prentice-Hall. .

            13. See also Ford, op. cit.

            14. G. Guariso and H. Werthner, Environmental Decision Support Systems, Ellis Horwood, Chichester, England, 1989.

            15. op. cit.

            16. Sprague and Carlson, op. cit.; Guariso and Werthner, op. cit.

            17. op. cit.

            18. Compare Ballou N., Chou H. T., Garza J. F., Kim W., Petrie C., Russinoff D., Steiner D. and Woelk D.. 1988. . Coupling an expert system shell with an object-oriented database system. . Journal of Object-Oriented Programming . , Vol. 1:: 12––21. .

            19. Compare Schlesinger M.E.. 1986. . Equilibrium and transient climatic warming induced by increased atmospheric CO2. . Climate Dynamics . , Vol. 1:: 35––52. .

            20. Bolin, et al, Preface.

            21. M.C. MacCracken and F.J. Luther (eds.), Projecting the Climatic Effects of Increasing Carbon Dioxide, DOE/ER-0237, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington DC, 1985; SCOPE, Climate Impact Assessment: Studies of the Interaction of Climate and Society, 27, 1985; and T. Rosswall, R.C. Woodmansee and PG. Risser, Scales and Global Change, SCOPE, 35, John Wiley, Chichester, 1988.

            22. See for example, reviews in Henderson-Sellers and Blong, op. cit.

            23. C.H.P Brooks, ‘Capturing informal intelligence in organisations: experience with the Office Express system’, Proceedings of the Australian Computer Conference 1988 (Information Technology. Towards 2000) 1988, pp. 15–28.

            24. For example, B. Meyer, Object-Oriented Software Construction, Prentice-Hall, New York, 1988.

            25. For example, N. Ballou, H.T. Chou, J.F. Garza, W Kim, C. Petrie, D. Russinoff, D. Steiner and D. Woelk, ‘Coupling an expert system shell with an object-oriented database system’, Object-Oriented Programming, 1, 1988, pp. 12–21; D Woelk, and W. Kim, ‘Multimedia information management in an object oriented database system’, Proceedings of International Conference on Very Large Data Bases, Brighton, England, 1987.

            26. J. Conklin, ‘Hypertext: an introduction and survey’, IEEE Computer, September 1987; D.A. Seeley and M. Leadbeater, ‘Supporting group innovation with a hypertext authoring system’, Proceedings of the Australian Computer Conference 1988 (Information Technology. Towards 2000), 1988, pp. 133–157.

            27. A. Henderson-Sellers, ‘Australian public perception of the greenhouse issue’, Climatic Change (in press), 1990.

            28. op. cit.

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